Trade Analysis: C.C. Sabathia for Ben Zobrist
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One of my trusted followers on Twitter threw me what I considered to be the fantasy baseball advice equivalent of a hanging curve this morning.
My follower has C.C. Sabathia in stacked pitching rotation that includes Tim Lincecum, King Felix, Dan Haren and Justin Verlander. Like the guy in the ESPN Fantasy Baseball commercial, he must’ve drafted 5 pitchers in a row. To his credit, at least one of them wasn’t Vicente Padilla. Moving on…
He would be receiving Ben Zobrist in a 1-for-1 deal. In Yahoo! fantasy baseball, Zobrist is eligible at 2B, SS, and OF. The follower’s middle infield includes Howie Kendrick and Miguel Tejada with no support. His outfield options are much better with the likes of Manny Ramirez, Carlos Quentin, Johnny Damon, Hunter Pence and Carlos Beltran coming off the DL.
So… should he make the deal?
Before doing research on the details of the trade, my gut instinct told me “no.” Sabathia is an A-line pitcher in fantasy baseball. Typically, when you have pitchers of that caliber on your roster, you don’t trade them. However, in the case of this team, Sabathia may be expendable because this guy has a fantasy baseball “Dream Team rotation.”
On paper, however, Zobrist – while certainly a nice player with attractive multi-position eligibility – just doesn’t add up to Sabathia. The biggest reason the follower should trade for Zobrist is to pick up some much needed help in that otherwise weak middle infield. Kendrick was a nice sleeper draft pick, but Tejada isn’t very likable as the only option at shortstop.
According to Yahoo! preseason ranks, this trade isn’t that bad – Sabathia is no. 41 overall compared to Zobrist at no. 39. Average Draft Position at Mock Draft Central tells a much different story, however. While Sabathia was being selected in mixed 5×5 leagues around pick 27, Zobrist was going as “low” as pick 53.
So, should offensive upgrades in the middle infield allow the follower to trade one of fantasy baseball’s top pitchers?
In our eyes – yes. Assuming the rest of that pitching rotation stays healthy, Sabathia’s numbers will merely add buffer to the expected victories that will already be coming this team’s way in strikeouts, ERA, and wins. So while Sabathia is almost NEVER expendable – this seems to be a situation where he would be.
Plus, Zobrist’s 2o1o CBS Sports projections of a .261 average with 28 home runs, 95 RBI, 94 runs and 16 steals lead us to believe he is a HUGE upgrade over Kendrick and Tejada’s at their positions.
So, @thebrewz23, we say take the deal.
Readers – what do you say? Leave a comment below.
PS – the team at Fantasy Baseball Dugout is available to offer fantasy baseball trade advice all season long. Post a question to BeeZee on Twitter by following him (@jonathanbentz) and asking away. Or, if you prefer to email your trade opportunity to us for analysis, send it to webmaster [at] fantasybaseballdugout [dot] com. We may publish several of these trade questions as the season goes on.











April 8th, 2010 at 7:28 am
bad trade period! the outfield listed in that article is futile! mannywood w/o juice is closed. beltran is ok..but nothing great. quentin is low ba and low walks. if you trade your pitcher…get a star for the outfield.
April 8th, 2010 at 11:05 am
I agree with that – if you can get a high-end OFer at this point in the year. And with Sabathia as the bait, that should be doable. However, this guy's middle infield is even weaker than his OF.
Is he overpaying for Zobrist? Yeah, probably. But if Zobrist meets his projections then I don't think "thebrewz" is going to lose out too much on the deal in the end.
April 8th, 2010 at 11:06 am
I agree with that – if you can get a high-end OFer at this point in the year. And with Sabathia as the bait, that should be doable. However, this guy's middle infield is even weaker than his OF.
Is he overpaying for Zobrist? Yeah, probably. But if Zobrist meets his projections then I don't think "thebrewz" is going to lose out too much on the deal in the end.
April 8th, 2010 at 1:59 pm
FIrst off, @jonathanbentz, thanks for your time and consideration to my question. I do appreciate the assistance. I think george makes a great point about my outfield weakness, so rather than accept the offer, I countered. My counter offer was…
HIS: Zobrist, Justin, Upton & Fausto Carmona
for
MY: CC, Hunter Pence & David Price
He accepted and now I've added a top 20 fantasy player and top 10 OF in Upton, who gives me average, SB and pretty decent runs, RBIs & HR if he stays healthy. I also maintain my dominating rotation of Tim Lincecum, King Felix, Dan Haren and Justin Verlander and Mariano Rivera.
Thoughts on this trade? Also, what, if any next moves?
It's a H-2-H league with the following stats: Runs (R), Home Runs (HR), Runs Batted In (RBI), Stolen Bases (SB), Batting Average (AVG), Wins (W), Saves (SV), Strikeouts (K), Earned Run Average (ERA), (Walks + Hits)/ Innings Pitched (WHIP)
More detailed roster info available at:http://bit.ly/bxCaR2
April 8th, 2010 at 3:15 pm
I like that trade a little bit more than the initial offer. Upton and Zobrist are a good package. Unless the other guy really wanted Pence, Carmona and Pence probably could have stayed put. All together, though, not a bad deal. Good trade.